Quiver News

The latest insights and financial news from Quiver Quantitative

+ News Alerts
All News Breaking News Summary Contracts Congress Trades Funds Government Insiders Legislation Lobbying Press Releases External
Trump and Xi Hold Phone Call as U.S.–China Trade Truce Enters New Phase
38 minutes ago | Nov. 24, 2025 2:56 p.m. UTC

US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping spoke by phone on Monday, according to Chinese state media, marking the leaders’ first publicly reported discussion since last month’s trade truce between the world’s two largest economies.

  • Xinhua reported that Xi said China–US relations have maintained “positive momentum.”
  • Xi urged both nations to “expand the list of cooperation” and “strive for more progress in bilateral ties.”
  • China’s president also called for “opening new space for cooperation” and emphasized that Taiwan’s return to China remains a key part of the post–World War II international order.
  • Xi said the two countries should jointly safeguard the “victorious outcomes” of World War II.
  • The White House and Chinese embassy did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
  • The call follows a recent agreement in which Washington reduced tariffs on Chinese goods and Beijing lifted certain restrictions on rare earth exports.

Relevant Companies

  • None found

Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Medline will IPO in 2025
16 hours ago | Nov. 23, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 10,958 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will IPO in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 68% chance for "Medline", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 68% probability.

If Medline confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 124,847 transactions since it was first opened on October 09, 2025. There are 20,006 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 539,314 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Donald Trump will leave office this year
16 hours ago | Nov. 23, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 53,341 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Donald Trump out this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 2% chance for "Donald Trump", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 2% probability.

If Donald Trump leaves office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 8,382,765 transactions since it was first opened on August 30, 2025. There are 1,708,956 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 205,583,493 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Trump will impose new tariffs in November
16 hours ago | Nov. 23, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 9,547 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump impose new tariffs in November?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 4% chance for "Yes", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 4% probability.

If the President of the United States has imposed any new (or increased) tariffs in November 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 145,076 transactions since it was first opened on November 01, 2025. There are 50,885 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,083,324 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether the government will be shut down on January 31
16 hours ago | Nov. 23, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 7,609 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the government be shut down on January 31?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 31% chance for "Shut down", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 31% probability.

If the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management contains a notice that the government is shut down on January 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET due to a lapse in appropriations, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 97,354 transactions since it was first opened on November 11, 2025. There are 56,459 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 18,164,739 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Zohran Mamdani will receive 50% or more of the vote in NYC Mayoral Election
16 hours ago | Nov. 23, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 20,294 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “What percent of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in NYC Mayoral Election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 98% chance for "50% or more", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 98% probability.

If Zohran Mamdani wins 50% or more% of the vote in the NYC Mayoral Election in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 2,707,723 transactions since it was first opened on July 16, 2025. There are 456,246 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,684,319 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether the Federal Reserve will hike rates by 0bps at their December 2025 meeting
16 hours ago | Nov. 23, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 167,957 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2025 meeting?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 31% chance for "Fed maintains rate", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 30% probability.

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on December 10, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 5,009,392 transactions since it was first opened on August 05, 2025. There are 2,144,225 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 25,501,546 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether average gas prices will be above $3.073
16 hours ago | Nov. 23, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 8,402 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will average **gas prices** be above $3.073?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 15% chance for "Above 3.073", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 15% probability.

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.073 on Nov 24, 2025 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 37,063 transactions since it was first opened on November 17, 2025. There are 15,466 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,291,929 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether the S&P 500 will be above 5881.63 on Dec 31, 2025 at 4pm EST
1 day, 16 hours ago | Nov. 22, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 25,910 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the S&P 500 be above 5881.63 on Dec 31, 2025 at 4pm EST?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 91% chance for "Positive Growth", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 91% probability.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2025 at 4pm EST is above 5881.63, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 179,310 transactions since it was first opened on May 08, 2025. There are 118,494 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 5,625,560 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Mikie Sherrill will win by 14 to 100 percentage points in New Jersey
1 day, 16 hours ago | Nov. 22, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 64,700 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Mikie Sherrill win by 14 to 100 percentage points in New Jersey?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 99% chance for "14% or above", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 99% probability.

If the margin of victory for Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey Gubernatorial Election in New Jersey falls within 14 to 100 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 2,118,550 transactions since it was first opened on September 06, 2025. There are 789,649 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,282,883 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Nicolás Maduro will be out in November
1 day, 16 hours ago | Nov. 22, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 46,588 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Nicolás Maduro out in November?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 8% chance for "Nicolás Maduro", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 9% probability.

If Nicolás Maduro has resigned or otherwise left as president of Venezuela before Dec 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 732,180 transactions since it was first opened on November 01, 2025. There are 469,698 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 17,092,990 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Nicolás Maduro will leave office this year
1 day, 16 hours ago | Nov. 22, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 49,461 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Nicolás Maduro out this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 24% chance for "Nicolás Maduro", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 24% probability.

If Nicolás Maduro leaves office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 724,083 transactions since it was first opened on September 10, 2025. There are 367,290 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 15,254,245 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Curtis Sliwa will secure second place in the NYC Mayor 2025
1 day, 16 hours ago | Nov. 22, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 14,829 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will get second place in the Mayor?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 0% chance for "Curtis Sliwa", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 0% probability.

If Curtis Sliwa is second place in the NYC Mayor in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 2,189,395 transactions since it was first opened on June 12, 2025. There are 852,052 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 239,307,970 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Marjorie Taylor Greene will be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party
1 day, 16 hours ago | Nov. 22, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 30,198 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 5% chance for "Marjorie Taylor Greene", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 5% probability.

If Marjorie Taylor Greene wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 644,638 transactions since it was first opened on November 05, 2025. There are 521,298 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 264,348,841 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will win the next presidential election
1 day, 16 hours ago | Nov. 22, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 14,051 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win the next presidential election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 7% chance for "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 7% probability.

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 247,108 transactions since it was first opened on May 10, 2025. There are 207,487 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,624,610,027 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Jon Ossoff will be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028
1 day, 16 hours ago | Nov. 22, 2025 11:18 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 57,088 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 5% chance for "Jon Ossoff", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 5% probability.

If Jon Ossoff wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,019,316 transactions since it was first opened on May 23, 2025. There are 868,316 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 340,590,007 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Marjorie Taylor Greene Resigns From Congress, Effective January 2026
2 days, 13 hours ago | Nov. 22, 2025 1:43 a.m. UTC

Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene announced she will resign from Congress effective January 5, 2026, issuing a lengthy statement criticizing party leadership, Washington’s political culture, and her treatment by fellow Republicans and former President Trump.

  • Greene released a multi-page resignation letter outlining grievances with both political parties and what she described as the “Political Industrial Complex.”
  • She said she no longer believes there is a “plan to save the world” or “4D chess being played,” referencing messaging common among her supporters.
  • Greene cited personal attacks, intra-party conflicts, and disagreements over issues such as H1B visas, foreign policy, and the release of Epstein-related documents.
  • Her final day in office will be January 5, 2026.
  • Greene has represented Georgia’s 14th congressional district since 2021.

Relevant Companies

  • None found

Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Trump will sell any Gold Cards this year
2 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 21, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 36,169 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 92% chance for "0", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 95% probability.

If, before Dec 31, 2025, || Above/below/between || 1 "gold cards" are issued by the federal government, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 929,831 transactions since it was first opened on March 19, 2025. There are 313,496 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 21,240,439 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether natural gas prices will exceed $4 per million BTU by December 29, 2025
2 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 21, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 15,021 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the price of natural gas get above $4 per million BTU by December 29, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 99% chance for "$4.01 or above", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 99% probability.

If the spot price of Henry Hub natural gas hits above $4 per million BTU on any day between November 04, 2025 and December 29, 2025 as reported by the EIA, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 46,521 transactions since it was first opened on November 06, 2025. There are 25,162 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 55,063 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Abigail Spanberger will win by 14 to 100 percentage points in Virginia
2 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 21, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 16,576 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Abigail Spanberger win by 14 to 100 percentage points in Virginia?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 99% chance for "14% and above", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 99% probability.

If the margin of victory for Abigail Spanberger in 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election in Virginia falls within 14 to 100 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,289,696 transactions since it was first opened on September 07, 2025. There are 564,242 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 7,331,483 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether the Supreme Court will rule in favor of Trump in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump
2 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 21, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 10,895 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 23% chance for "Before 2028", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 23% probability.

If the Supreme Court, in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump, rules that Trump's tariffs are legal before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,243,718 transactions since it was first opened on September 02, 2025. There are 503,957 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,330,688 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Republicans will win the House in 2026
2 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 21, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 7,621 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Republicans win the House in 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 28% chance for "Republican Party", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 28% probability.

If the Republican has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 872,291 transactions since it was first opened on November 06, 2024. There are 458,022 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 837,754,084 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether the minimum SP500 value will reach 4500.01 by Jan 1, 2026
2 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 21, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 8,929 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the minimum SP500 value reach 4500.01 by Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 5% chance for "4,500 or below", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 5% probability.

If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting || Open Date || and ending on Jan 1, 2026 is below 4500.01, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 49,065 transactions since it was first opened on March 19, 2025. There are 21,470 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 42,143,015 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether any company will acquire TikTok in 2025
2 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 21, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 7,423 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Any Company acquire TikTok in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 18% chance for "Any Company", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 18% probability.

If Any Company announces an acquisition of Tiktok before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 317,861 transactions since it was first opened on August 06, 2025. There are 52,812 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,247,951 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Powell leaves before 2026
2 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 21, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 13,591 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Powell leaves before 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 4% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 4% probability.

If Jerome Powell is no longer Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (not merely announces he leaves office) by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 6,110,624 transactions since it was first opened on May 01, 2024. There are 1,007,824 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 23,817,742 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether the U.S. will control part of Greenland, Canada, and the Panama Canal before 2026
2 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 21, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 11,155 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the U.S. control at least part of Greenland, Canada, and the Panama Canal before 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 1% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 1% probability.

If the United States, after Issuance and before 2026, has gained operational control over at least some of Greenland, the Panama Canal, and Canada, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,203,159 transactions since it was first opened on January 18, 2025. There are 336,338 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 132,891,741 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
House Ethics Committee Opens Investigation Into Rep. Mike Collins
2 days, 18 hours ago | Nov. 21, 2025 8:36 p.m. UTC

The House Ethics Committee has opened an investigation into Representative Mike Collins (R-GA), according to a newly released notice extending a referral first transmitted in October. The panel did not disclose the subject of the probe, but the announcement comes as Collins remains the most active cryptocurrency trader in Congress.

  • The Committee on Ethics said the matter involving Collins and his chief of staff was referred on October 7, 2025, and formally extended on November 21.
  • The Committee emphasized that an extension does not indicate that a violation has occurred or reflect any judgment.
  • A public update on the investigation’s next steps is expected on or before January 5, 2026.
  • Collins is one of Congress’s most prolific crypto traders, with dozens of transactions disclosed across digital assets throughout the year.
  • The announcement follows increased scrutiny of digital-asset trading by lawmakers amid broader debate over congressional stock-trading rules.

Relevant Companies:

  • None found

Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Wil Graham Platner will be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine
3 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 20, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 16,078 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Wil Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 66% chance for "Graham Platner", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 66% probability.

If Graham Platner wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 829,340 transactions since it was first opened on August 19, 2025. There are 494,339 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 17,710,492 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether average gas prices will be above $3.10
3 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 20, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 54,272 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 10% chance for "Above 3.10", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 10% probability.

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.10 on Nov 30, 2025 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 133,855 transactions since it was first opened on October 31, 2025. There are 52,685 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,197,663 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether President Trump will pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before Jan 1, 2026
3 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 20, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 13,468 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will President Trump pardon before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 4% chance for "Sam Bankman-Fried", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 4% probability.

If the President of the United States pardons Sam Bankman-Fried before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 351,726 transactions since it was first opened on May 09, 2025. There are 149,958 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,092,270 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Linda McMahon will be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet
3 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 20, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 25,797 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Linda McMahon be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 3% chance for "Linda McMahon", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 3% probability.

If Linda McMahon is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached), then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 75,131 transactions since it was first opened on January 11, 2025. There are 54,799 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 7,608,072 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Jeff Bezos will be one of the three wealthiest people in the world
3 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 20, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 30,988 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 48% chance for "Jeff Bezos", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 48% probability.

If Jeff Bezos is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 79,312 transactions since it was first opened on June 20, 2025. There are 16,859 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,451,808 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether the unemployment rate will be above 4.4% in November
3 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 20, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 20,093 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in November?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 59% chance for "Above 4.4%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 59% probability.

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.4% in November 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 43,336 transactions since it was first opened on November 08, 2025. There are 39,151 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,087,436 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether the Department of Education will be eliminated before Jan 1, 2026
3 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 20, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 56,735 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 4% chance for "Before Jan 1, 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 4% probability.

If the Department of Education is sunsetted or eliminated before January 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 3,703,964 transactions since it was first opened on November 21, 2024. There are 363,360 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 29,008,211 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Democrats will win the House race for TN-7
3 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 20, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 33,751 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Democratic win the House race for TN-7?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 13% chance for "Democratic party", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 13% probability.

If the House member sworn in for TN-7 for the term beginning in 2025 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 86,418 transactions since it was first opened on July 17, 2025. There are 73,852 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 52,329,714 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether the Fed will cut rates more than 25 bps in 2025
3 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 20, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 16,325 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 5% chance for "In 2025", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 5% probability.

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 738,778 transactions since it was first opened on January 04, 2025. There are 257,956 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 10,490,075 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Tom Steyer will win the governorship in California
4 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 19, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 19,375 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win the governorship in California?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 23% chance for "Tom Steyer", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 21% probability.

If Tom Steyer is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 25,588 transactions since it was first opened on October 13, 2025. There are 18,037 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 5,607,381 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Trump will be mentioned during NVIDIA's next earnings call
4 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 19, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 56,873 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “What will NVIDIA Corporation say during their next earnings call?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 1% chance for "Trump", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 8% probability.

If Trump is said by any NVIDIA Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next NVIDIA Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 62,947 transactions since it was first opened on October 29, 2025. There are 29,816 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,316,093 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Jeff Bezos will visit the White House before Jan 1, 2026
4 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 19, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 17,311 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Jeff Bezos visit the White House before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 46% chance for "Jeff Bezos", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 44% probability.

If Jeff Bezos visits the White House after May 2, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 35,742 transactions since it was first opened on May 02, 2025. There are 9,392 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,384,947 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether gold will outperform Bitcoin in 2025
4 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 19, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 27,558 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will gold outperform Bitcoin in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 98% chance for "In 2025", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 98% probability.

If gold outperforms Bitcoin in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 169,020 transactions since it was first opened on August 13, 2025. There are 82,025 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,662,775 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether the Fed will have an emergency meeting before Jan 1, 2026
4 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 19, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 23,240 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Fed have an emergency meeting before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 5% chance for "Before Jan 1, 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 5% probability.

If the Federal Open market Committee has an unscheduled meeting before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 436,769 transactions since it was first opened on November 05, 2024. There are 198,409 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 8,605,465 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Trump will meet with Justin Trudeau before 2025
4 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 19, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 31,490 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump meet with Justin Trudeau before 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 6% chance for "Justin Trudeau", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 6% probability.

If the President of the United States meets Justin Trudeau in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 414,796 transactions since it was first opened on January 04, 2025. There are 196,193 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 231,306,166 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Zohran Mamdani will win the NYC Mayoral Election by 6-8.99% margin
4 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 19, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 51,902 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the Mayoral Election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 30% chance for "6-8.99%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 30% probability.

If the popular vote margin of victory is 6-8.99% for Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 3,215,541 transactions since it was first opened on August 13, 2025. There are 829,135 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 9,334,321 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether the maximum SP500 value will reach 6999.99 by Jan 1, 2026
4 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 19, 2025 11:20 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 20,802 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the maximum SP500 value reach 6999.99 by Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 32% chance for "7,000 or above", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 32% probability.

If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Mar 19, 2025 and ending on Jan 1, 2026 is above 6999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 211,901 transactions since it was first opened on March 19, 2025. There are 48,310 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 5,652,392 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Target Corporation will mention "Revenue" during their next earnings call
5 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 18, 2025 11:21 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 23,232 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 41% chance for "Revenue", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 41% probability.

If Revenue is said by any Target Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Target Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 29,698 transactions since it was first opened on November 13, 2025. There are 18,262 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,969,916 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2026
5 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 18, 2025 11:21 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 21,612 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 29% chance for "legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 29% probability.

If legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 199,105 transactions since it was first opened on July 24, 2025. There are 83,351 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,680,524 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Tesla will release its robotaxi to the public before Jan 1, 2026
5 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 18, 2025 11:21 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 23,445 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Tesla robotaxi released to public before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 30% chance for "Before 2026", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 31% probability.

If Tesla has released its robotaxi service to the public before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 924,744 transactions since it was first opened on April 12, 2024. There are 270,320 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 12,253,755 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Trump will announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve in 2025
5 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 18, 2025 11:21 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 20,248 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 60% chance for "Before 2026", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 51% probability.

If the President announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 527,648 transactions since it was first opened on July 09, 2025. There are 134,272 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 21,288,582 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Virginia Attorney General election will have the smallest margin of victory in 2025 U.S. Elections
5 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 18, 2025 11:21 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 20,168 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Virginia Attorney General election have the smallest margin of victory in 2025 U.S. Elections?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 99% chance for "Virginia Attorney General", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 99% probability.

If the Virginia Attorney General election has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2025 Virginia Governor, Virginia Lieutenant Governor, Virginia Attorney General, New Jersey Governor, NYC Mayor, and California Proposition 50 elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 306,555 transactions since it was first opened on October 07, 2025. There are 108,090 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,533,935 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Markets bet on whether Trump will create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2026
5 days, 16 hours ago | Nov. 18, 2025 11:21 p.m. UTC

Kalshi has reported 83,951 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 4% chance for "Before Jan 1, 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 4% probability.

If the White House creates a National Bitcoin Reserve (a la the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) before January 1, 2026, either through direct executive action or by signing a bill into law, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 2,382,198 transactions since it was first opened on November 09, 2024. There are 591,995 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 22,426,556 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

Quiver Quantitative Logo
Read Full Article
Back to Top